OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

PHI · Philadelphia Flyers

0-6-3 · 3 pts · Metropolitan · Eastern
Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16
82proj pts68–95
11%playoffs
1%division
1%Stanley Cup
Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →
The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+1.626th
Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.129th
Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability+0.011th
Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.132nd
Measured team value+1.928th

How this count is built

The skaters
Owen Tippett
+0.3
Sean Couturier
+0.2
Matvei Michkov
+0.2
Christian Dvorak
+0.1
Noah Cates
+0.1
Travis Sanheim
+0.1
Travis Konecny
+0.1
Trevor Zegras
+0.1
Porter Martone
+0.1
Tyson Foerster
+0.1
David Jiricek
+0.1
Carl Grundstrom
+0.1
Denver Barkey
+0.1
Michael Bunting
+0.1

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+1.8 goals
Last 5 gamespre-game
Thu, Oct 15@ DETL1–244%
Tue, Oct 13vs SEAOTL2–3 SO52%
Sun, Oct 11vs CARL1–446%
Sat, Oct 10@ BOSL1–545%
Thu, Oct 8@ OTTL1–245%
Next 5 gameswin chance
Sat, Oct 17vs OTT49%
Mon, Oct 19vs COL43%
Wed, Oct 21@ BUF41%
Sat, Oct 24vs ANA52%
Tue, Oct 27vs CBJ48%