OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

CGY · Calgary Flames

1-6-0 · 2 pts · Pacific · Western
Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16
77proj pts63–90
7%playoffs
<1%division
<1%Stanley Cup
Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →
The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+1.528th
Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.131st
Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability−0.019th
Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.229th
Measured team value+1.831st

How this count is built

The skaters
Matt Coronato
+0.2
Yegor Sharangovich
+0.2
Mikael Backlund
+0.2
Ryan Strome
+0.2
Simon Nemec
+0.2
Morgan Frost
+0.1
Zach Whitecloud
+0.1
Joel Farabee
+0.1
Maxim Tsyplakov
+0.1
Adam Klapka
+0.1
Matvei Gridin
+0.1
Aydar Suniev
+0.1
Jake Middleton
+0.1
Yan Kuznetsov
+0.1

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+1.8 goals
Last 5 gamespre-game
Thu, Oct 15@ VGKL2–635%
Tue, Oct 13@ ANAW4–240%
Sat, Oct 10vs ANAL2–447%
Thu, Oct 8vs COLL3–742%
Sun, Oct 4@ SEAL1–641%
Next 5 gameswin chance
Sun, Oct 18vs CAR42%
Thu, Oct 22vs MIN45%
Sat, Oct 24vs DET46%
Mon, Oct 26vs TOR48%
Wed, Oct 28@ EDM36%