OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

VGK · Vegas Golden Knights

7-2-0 · 14 pts · Pacific · Western
Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16
104proj pts91–118
86%playoffs
39%division
7%Stanley Cup
Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →
The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+3.61st
Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.214th
Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability−0.022nd
Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.61st
Measured team value+4.42nd

How this count is built

The skaters
Jack Eichel
+0.5
Ivan Barbashev
+0.4
Shea Theodore
+0.4
Mark Stone
+0.4
Mitch Marner
+0.3
William Karlsson
+0.3
Tomas Hertl
+0.3
Noah Hanifin
+0.3
Brayden McNabb
+0.2
Brett Howden
+0.2
Rasmus Andersson
+0.2
Trevor Connelly
+0.2
Victor Olofsson
+0.1
Parker Wotherspoon
+0.1

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+4.4 goals
Last 5 gamespre-game
Thu, Oct 15vs CGYW6–265%
Tue, Oct 13@ NSHW5–251%
Mon, Oct 12@ MINL2–450%
Sat, Oct 10vs LAKW2–1 OT54%
Thu, Oct 8vs TORW4–3 SO59%
Next 5 gameswin chance
Sat, Oct 17vs PIT57%
Tue, Oct 20vs TBL52%
Thu, Oct 22@ STL51%
Sat, Oct 24@ CBJ49%
Tue, Oct 27vs OTT56%