North Carolina

3–2 · ACC · 2–2 in rated games
#38
1.13
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Projected finish
6.1–5.9 expected
1% playoff
1% conf title game
<1% first-round bye
1%
3–9
8%
4–8
22%
5–7
32%
6–6
25%
7–5
11%
8–4
2%
9–3
<1%
10–2
bowl eligible 70% · win out <1%
Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves
W7@ #44 Duke Dukestakes 11
31%
What this game moves
PlayoffConf title game
if DUKEif UNCif DUKEif UNC
Duke4%1%10%1%
North Carolina<1%2%<1%4%
W8vs #92 Syracuse Syracusestakes 0
74%
W9vs #4 Miami Miamistakes 24
13%
W10@ #99 UConn UConn
49%
W11vs #51 Louisville Louisvillestakes 10
40%
W12@ #65 Virginia Virginiastakes 5
44%
W13vs #94 NC State NC Statestakes 3
64%
The receipts
WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±
—Model prior · 25% weight−0.32
W0n #63 TCU TCUW 15–10627973+0.61
W2vs East Tennessee State · not ratedW 35–3———0.00
W3@ #36 Clemson ClemsonL 20–28522141−0.22
W5vs #1 Notre Dame Notre DameL 26–37664158+0.22
W6@ #31 Pittsburgh PittsburghW 21–17698881+0.83
Season total✓ receipts = résumé score1.13
Factor profile
Rush offPass offRush defPass def
Rush offense
1459 #86
Pass offense
1554 #48
Rush defense
1379 #108
Pass defense
1625 #25

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile
Résumé score
1.13 #38
Elo
1594 #41
WAB
-0.3 #37
SOS
1685 #4

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory
#37#52#66W1W3W5W6
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