Buffalo

3–3 · MAC · 1–3 in rated games

#101

-1.30

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Projected finish

7.0–5.0 expected

0% playoff

17% conf title game

0% first-round bye

<1%

3–9

4–8

5–7

22%

6–6

34%

7–5

26%

8–4

9–3

bowl eligible 91% · win out 8%

Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves

W7vs #108 Massachusetts

stakes 9

78%

What this game moves

PlayoffConf title game

if BUFif MASSif BUFif MASS

Buffalo——21%4%

Massachusetts————

Eastern Michigan——20%24%

Toledo——20%23%

W8vs #109 Bowling Green

stakes 13

65%

W10@ #105 Miami (OH)

stakes 14

46%

W11@ #130 Ball State

stakes 8

74%

W12vs #98 Central Michigan

stakes 11

64%

W13@ #137 Akron

stakes 8

73%

The receipts

WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±

—Model prior · 25% weight−0.02

W1vs UAlbany · not ratedW 21–17———0.00

W2@ #85 Florida International

L 20–33341024−0.63

W3@ #46 Penn State

L 13–55172721−0.68

W4vs Robert Morris · not ratedW 31–28———0.00

W5vs #68 Western Michigan

L 17–2039526−0.60

W6@ #88 Toledo

W 23–8677373+0.62

Season total✓ receipts = résumé score-1.30

Factor profile

Rush offense

1448 #92

Pass offense

1385 #107

Rush defense

1468 #79

Pass defense

1375 #110

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile

Résumé score

-1.30 #101

Elo

1368 #101

WAB

-2.0 #103

SOS

1498 #69

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory

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