Arkansas State

2–4 · Sun Belt · 1–4 in rated games
#119
-1.99
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Projected finish
5.0–7.0 expected
0% playoff
1% conf title game
0% first-round bye
1%
2–10
9%
3–9
25%
4–8
33%
5–7
23%
6–6
8%
7–5
1%
8–4
bowl eligible 32% · win out 1%
Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves
W7@ #132 Southern Miss Southern Missstakes 1
57%
What this game moves
PlayoffConf title game
if USMif ARSTif USMif ARST
Arkansas State——<1%2%
Southern Miss——2%<1%
W8vs #48 Georgia State Georgia Statestakes 5
41%
W10vs #133 UL Monroe UL Monroestakes 0
80%
W11@ #124 Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolinastakes 1
42%
W12@ #71 Louisiana Tech Louisiana Techstakes 10
34%
W13vs #73 Troy Troystakes 9
42%
The receipts
WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±
—Model prior · 25% weight+0.16
W1@ #37 Memphis MemphisL 24–42402032−0.44
W2vs West Georgia · not ratedW 52–7———0.00
W3@ #63 TCU TCUL 7–31352029−0.50
W4vs #122 Kennesaw State Kennesaw StateW 17–14366550+0.04
W5@ #83 Louisiana LouisianaL 20–2344830−0.51
W6vs #78 South Alabama South AlabamaL 49–5631319−0.74
Season total✓ receipts = résumé score-1.99
Factor profile
Rush offPass offRush defPass def
Rush offense
1477 #73
Pass offense
1448 #84
Rush defense
1337 #117
Pass defense
1370 #111

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile
Résumé score
-1.99 #119
Elo
1345 #106
WAB
-3.0 #123
SOS
1462 #92

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory
#105#113#120W1W3W5W6
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