Alabama

5–1 · SEC

3.93

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Projected finish

8.7–2.3 expected

80% playoff

42% conf title game

42% first-round bye

<1%

5–6

6–5

7–4

28%

8–3

41%

9–2

21%

10–1

10+ wins 21% · win out 21%

Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves

W7@ #24 Tennessee

stakes 81

63%

What this game moves

PlayoffConf title game

if TENNif ALAif TENNif ALA

Alabama61%91%16%59%

Tennessee41%11%18%1%

Texas——16%10%

Missouri——18%13%

W8vs #41 Texas A&M

stakes 43

82%

W10@ #17 LSU

stakes 86

56%

W11@ #74 Vanderbilt

stakes 37

84%

W13vs #43 Auburn

stakes 40

85%

The receipts

WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±

—Model prior · 25% weight−0.22

W1vs #84 East Carolina

W 48–10886784+0.61

W2@ #14 Kentucky

W 45–179593100+1.00

W3vs #60 Florida State

W 50–36687474+0.49

W4vs #34 South Carolina

W 49–18898492+0.83

W5@ #16 Mississippi State

W 56–2310095100+1.10

W6vs #2 Georgia

L 17–20733862+0.13

Season total✓ receipts = résumé score3.93

Factor profile

Rush offense

1833 #1

Pass offense

1728 #13

Rush defense

1936 #1

Pass defense

1629 #23

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile

Résumé score

3.93 #3

Elo

1899 #3

WAB

1.3 #3

SOS

1663 #7

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory

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